Kion Model - Metrics
- 03:15
How to analyze and interpret business metrics for an industrials company, Kion.
Glossary
Industrials metricsTranscript
Next, we're going to work on these metrics and the way we're going to do it is by rolling forward the formulate, which are already in there.
We're going to take what's already there, push it forwards, and then see what's happening to the business.
Let's go line by line.
You can see that what's going on with revenue is quite flat.
Then we've got shrinkage, and that's probably primarily due to the new business revenue growth being negative in that year.
Remember that this is because the clearing of the backlog from six to four months has halted and you can't go any further.
And so the direction of travel backs up and revenue goes down.
The EBIT margin stays flat, which we've discussed is probably a combination of the problematic EBIT margin of ITS and the increasing EBIT margin of the much smaller part of the business.
S-C-S-O-W-C is broadly staying the same with a marginal improvement, and PP E is also broadly staying the same.
Down here we've got some really interesting stuff.
If you look at the total debt and then relate it to the ebitda, you can see that it's very high.
Now you could say that Kon has excellent collateral, but with it being an industrial, but even then, this is very, very high debt compared to ebitda.
That could be Kon being in trouble.
It could be that they've borrowed and borrowed to get through some difficult times.
What's more likely is that this debt may be bound up with their financing arm, and because this model has not looked at the financing arm as a separate segment, we're not able to untangle the operational to the financial arm.
So it could be that this level of debt is bound up more with the debt they need to extend leasing, rental, um, and other financing arrangements to the buyers of their trucks.
If you were to look at Kons financial reports, you would actually find that they report three leverages.
One is regular leverage.
The way we've done it here, one would analyze the leasing business.
One would analyze pensions and other pension like things.
And so Keyon is recognizing that its leverage is very high, And it's helping analysts to understand that in the way that it's reporting the interest expense doesn't make much sense at the moment, and that's because we have the model ignoring interest because we've turned a switch off.