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DCF Challenge

Felix DCF Challenge asks participants to do a discounted cash flow using live data from Felix. Numbers are checked using the growth of invested capital as an important metric to get consistent growth in the free cash flow values and in the terminal value. The solution we are giving you is at May 14 2025. Your numbers will look a bit different if you are using live financial data, but your overall conclusion and analysis should be the same.

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7 Lessons (27m)

Show lesson playlist
  • 1. Briefing Call - DCF Felix Challenge

    03:06
  • 2. DCF - Requirements

    03:17
  • 3. DCF - Historicals From Felix

    03:36
  • 4. DCF - Forecast Assumptions

    07:48
  • 5. DCF - WACC

    02:43
  • 6. DCF - Discounting to Enterprise Value

    01:27
  • 7. DCF - EV Bridge Using Felix, and Outputs

    05:06

DCF - WACC

  • Notes
  • Questions
  • Transcript
  • 02:43

Showing how to get the numbers for WACC from Felix.

Downloads

WACC EmptyWACC FullFelix DCF Challenge HandoutATI Felix Data

Glossary

WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
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Transcript

We've got our free cash flows done. We've checked some ratios. Now we need to move on to the wack. We can get these figures from Felix. There are two ways I could start to build these up. I could start by going to data then for United States because we're looking at a US company and then go to discount rates. Here I can see I've got my risk-free rate here for the 10 year government bond yield 4.16, and I could start to pick up figures from here. Alternatively though, I can go straight to ATI's page and on ATI's page, I go to the valuation tab and we've got a calculating WAC table here. I just need to make sure that I've got the right settings. The government bond yield of 10 years, that's exactly what we wanted. That's the 4.16 that we saw on the previous data tab. But the equity risk premium, we were told in the handout to use a custom 5%. If I go down to custom, and I've typed the 5% in there already. Next up for the adjusted beta, you might have yours on company. You'd have to change that to industry. But if I scroll down to the list of companies included in the industry, we've only got Texas in here so far. If I go back to the handout and remind myself which companies should be in here, we should have How Mets Reliance and Carpenter Tech core. So let's put Halme Aerospace in together. So HWM. So I go down to there, take a type in HWM or just type in the name, click on it and the comps updates. Let's do the other two. So RS was for Alliance and CRS Carpenter Technology, and now my industry is correct, and if I scroll back up, my adjusted beta has updated. I've now got all the figures that I need. They've all been calculated. My WAC updates as all these numbers at the top updates. I now just need to copy these into Excel. So here I am. I've copied all of those figures from Felix into my calculating WAC section here. It's the WAC at the bottom. That's the important one that we needed, but it's nice to have the figures there if you wanted to build up this wack yourself and check that it was correct. The last one is the terminal growth rate, and we need to make a decision here. I'm going to link this up to the growth in invested capital that we had that was 2.6%. Linking to this 2.6% is going to make sure that our growth and free cash flows is consistent with our growth that goes into the terminal value calculation.

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