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Renewable Energy - Capex

Before we can accrue revenue or incur operating costs in a project, we need to build the underlying equipment that can generate the power. This is what we call capital expenditure or Capex, which we will explore in this module, covering build-up of construction costs for the generating assets, grid connections, and other capital expenditure. Using lookup functions to make capital expenditure timings flexible. Building in sensitivities for potential changes in costs. Calculating depreciation of the resulting capital assets.

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12 Lessons (44m)

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  • Description & Objectives

  • 1. Capex Introduction

    03:51
  • 2. Construction Capex Costs

    01:38
  • 3. Capex Construction Costs Workout

    05:38
  • 4. Capex Inflation

    04:07
  • 5. Inflation Index Example Part 1

    03:24
  • 6. Inflation Index Example Part 2

    02:55
  • 7. Case Study Sources and Uses - Intro

    02:26
  • 8. Case Study Sources and Uses - Flags and Installed Capacity

    04:42
  • 9. Case Study Sources and Uses - Funding Need

    03:37
  • 10. Case Study Sources and Uses 4 - PPE and Equity

    05:19
  • 11. Case Study Sources and Uses - IDC

    06:28
  • 12. Renewable Energy - Capex Tryout


Prev: Renewable Energy - Operating Model Next: Renewable Energy - Financing and Loans

Inflation Index Example Part 2

  • Notes
  • Questions
  • Transcript
  • 02:55

Inflation Index Example in renewable energy project finance.

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Transcript

If we want to apply multiple rates of inflation, we just need to build two separate indexes. On this slide, we're showing two different sets of costs, construction and maintenance costs. Construction is going up at 5% a year. Maintenance is going up at 10% a year, the 5% per year. We just build a construction inflation index, 1 plus 5% to the power of the number of years, and we multiply our construction costs without inflation times the inflation index to give us inflation adjusted construction costs. For the maintenance, we're using a separate higher rate of inflation, 10%, so the maintenance inflation index is 1 plus 10% to the power of the number of years that have gone by. So it goes 1.1, 1.21, 1.331, and so on.

We're also going to add in here a maintenance inflation flag that says there's no inflation until the third year. Maybe it's a fixed price deal, and we did what we've just done on the previous slide where we say, if the flag is a zero, just give me the cost before inflation, otherwise give me costs multiplied by the index.

What happens if inflation starts before the model? Maybe you are using cost estimates from 1 year, but the project and the model only start a couple of years later. The example we've got here, we are using cost estimates from 2021, but the project and model begins in 2023, so we need to add two years of inflation before the model even begins. In this case, we've got cash flows before inflation of 100 every year, and an inflation index 5% a year. But you can see it doesn't start at 1.05. It starts at 1.1 576. That's because we've got already before the model begins, we've got two years worth of inflation. By the time we get to year 1, we've got three years worth of compounding inflation at 5%. The formula that's used there is down at the bottom. It's 1 plus the 5% inflation rate to the power of the year number plus two extra years. So hence in period 1. We have three years worth of inflation. In the second year, we'll have four years worth. In the third year, we'll have five years worth. It's just a simple tweak to help us add in the correct amount of inflation. Given that our cost estimates are two years out of date, by the time the model commences.

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CPE exams do not count towards your FE certification. You do not need to complete the CPE exam if you are not collecting CPE credits, but you might find it useful for your own revision.


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