The Double Deficit
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Overview of the concept of a double-deficit and why it might raise red flags.
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Glossary
Crowding Out Current Account Fiscal DeficitTranscript
The concept of a double deficit emerges when a nation is faced with two concurrent economic challenges.
A current account deficit alongside a fiscal deficit.
A current account deficit occurs when a country's total spending on imports of goods services and transfers outstrips what it earns from its exports.
In essence, it's spending more on international trade than its earning. Simultaneously, a fiscal deficit unfolds when the government's expenditures eclipse the revenue it collects.
It's akin to a household spending more than its income necessitating, borrowing to cover the gap.
Why might this duo of deficits raise red flags? Dependency on external funding and susceptibility to shocks? To bridge the gap created by these deficits, a country may lean heavily on foreign loans or investments.
Such dependence is risky because it leaves the nation at the mercy of investor sentiment.
If that confidence wanes capital might flee swiftly, and a sudden retreat by foreign investors could depreciate the currency quickly, ramping up the cost of repaying foreign debt and possibly sparking a financial crisis.
Rising interest rates.
Borrowing to find a fiscal deficit can push interest rates upward.
This crowding out effect can dampen private investment.
Additionally, if the government debt is financed by creating more money, it can ignite inflationary pressures.
Debt accumulation, running both deficits can pile up debt both at home and abroad.
The long-term viability of this debt comes into question as heavy debt loads can constrain future government action, possibly leading to austerity measures that hinder economic expansion.