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Debt Capacity

Understand how to assess a company's debt capacity using multiples and cash flows for the purposes of credit analysis.

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12 Lessons (35m)

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  • Description & Objectives

  • 1. Debt Capacity Overview

    02:50
  • 2. Cash Flow Based Debt Capacity

    03:26
  • 3. Creating Cash Flow Scenarios

    01:51
  • 4. Amortizing the Loan

    01:46
  • 5. Creating Tranches

    01:29
  • 6. Modeling Credit Scenarios Part 1 Workout

    05:53
  • 7. Modeling Credit Scenarios Part 2 Workout

    04:13
  • 8. Modeling Credit Scenarios Part 3 Workout

    01:51
  • 9. Debt Capacity With Scenarios TLa

    02:59
  • 10. Debt Capacity With Scenarios TLa and TLb

    05:26
  • 11. Amortization Workout

    04:28
  • 12. Debt Capacity Tryout


Prev: Financial Risk

Amortizing the Loan

  • Notes
  • Questions
  • Transcript
  • 01:46

Using cash flow analysis to determine the timings of a loan repayment

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Glossary

bank case Cash flow cash flow analysis commercial banking company cash Corporate banking corporate lending credit Credit Risk Debt Capacity debt/ebbtide EBITDA Free Cash Flows Investment Grade loan amortization Multiples sub investment grade upside case
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Transcript

In this case, we can see the company is expected to struggle a bit out of the gate in terms of margin, and then eventually stabilize. Defaulting on the loan early because of a bumpy road after an acquisition or turnaround is not great for any of the stakeholders. Based on the bank's conservative assumptions, the cash flow analysis has revealed that the amount of debt the company can handle and pay back was based on each year's free cash flows. However, depending on the deal, the credit, appetite of the market, some banks will adjust the amortization schedule to allow some breathing room in the early years. This is done by looking at the debt capacity analysis that was previously done based solely on cash flows, and massaging the principle payback slightly. Here, the amortization schedule was shaved slightly in the early years to allow for some more room in case the company needs it. This is where sensitivities come in handy. The bank has properly flexed the numbers and has developed a reasonable bank case. It can be fairly certain that the cash will be there when needed. This can be risky if the credit turns bad or worse in the later years. If we look closely, the early breathing room did come at the expense of less cash available in the outer years. In fact, in years three to five, the debt service is higher than the bank case cash flows. Now the bank case is typically lower than the company's forecast, so normally this is not a problem. However, a bank will never allow this situation to happen without a cash sweep in place to pick up any cash that is accumulating in the earlier years of the loan to pay the loan back in advance. This is called prepaying. So if the cash flow is actually better than anticipated in the earlier years, the bank has a claim on that cash as well. Note well that in this example, the overall interest paid on the loan will be slightly higher, which is not a bad thing for the bank. We'll look at an example of this in the workouts.

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CPE

What is CPE?

CPE stands for Continuing Professional Education, by completing learning activities you earn CPE credits to retain your professional credentials. CPE is required for Certified Public Accountants (CPAs). Financial Edge Training is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors.

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For self study programs, 1 CPE credit is awarded for every 50 minutes of elearning content, this includes videos, workouts, tryouts, and exams.

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CPE exams do not count towards your FE certification. You do not need to complete the CPE exam if you are not collecting CPE credits, but you might find it useful for your own revision.


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