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DCF Valuation

Understand how to perform a discounted cash flow analysis.

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25 Lessons (51m)

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  • Description & Objectives

  • 1. What are DCF and WACC

    03:02
  • 2. What is DCF

    03:29
  • 3. DCF Steps

    01:28
  • 4. Simple DCF Workout

    03:00
  • 5. Free Cash Flow Calculation

    02:34
  • 6. Free Cash Flow Workout

    01:53
  • 7. WACC

    01:37
  • 8. Terminal Value

    01:34
  • 9. Terminal Value Two Approaches

    03:04
  • 10. Terminal Value Company Characteristics

    02:29
  • 11. Discounting

    01:22
  • 12. Simple DCF 2 Workout

    02:05
  • 13. Larger DCF Workout

    03:21
  • 14. Implied Growth from TV Workout

    01:42
  • 15. Implied Multiple from TV Workout

    01:40
  • 16. Enterprise Value to Equity Bridge

    00:48
  • 17. Mid Year Adjustment to Free Cash Flows

    01:24
  • 18. Mid Year Adjustment to TV Using Growth Perpetuity

    01:52
  • 19. Mid Year DCF 1 Workout

    02:09
  • 20. Mid Year Adjustment to TV Using Exit Multiple

    01:30
  • 21. Terminal Value Two Approaches With Mid Year Adjustment

    02:46
  • 22. Mid Year Implied Multiple from TV Workout

    01:36
  • 23. Large DCF Workout

    03:48
  • 24. Case Study DCF Valuation | Interactive Video

  • 25. DCF Valuation Tryout


Prev: WACC Analysis Next: Advanced Valuation Techniques

Terminal Value Two Approaches With Mid Year Adjustment

  • Notes
  • Questions
  • Transcript
  • 02:46

Understand how to sense check implied growth rates and multiples whilst assuming mid-year convention

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Glossary

DCF EV Multiple FCF Free Cash Flow Growing Perpetuity Mid-year Adjustment Terminal Value (TV) Valuation Consistency Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
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Transcript

Here we see two approaches to calculating the terminal value Firstly the growing perpetuity model and secondly the terminal EV using a multiple Let's go through them quickly, the growing perpetuity model takes the free cash flow from year N (let's say that's year 5) Times it by one plus the growth rate, effectively making free cash flow from year 6 Divide it by WACC minus G and that gives you the present value of your growing perpetuity i.e. your terminal value An alternative is the multiple method To do this you take your last 12 months (your LTM EBITDA from year 5) And you multiply that by some kind of multiple and we find that from a similar company that's already reached the steady state Now it's important to realise when these figures are actually happening If we assume that cash flows occur half way through a period Then the free cash flow from the growing perpetuity model is actually happening at year 4.5 That means when I get to my terminal value, then that terminal value in the growing perpetuity is actually at year 4.5 When we use the multiple method, it's the opposite My last 12 months EBITDA is to year 5, that means my terminal value must be to year 5 So where does it make a difference? We've got these two different methods, both getting a terminal value to a slightly different period Well it makes a difference for the sense checks Let's do the left hand side one first, the EV multiple We're going to create an EV multiple using the terminal value calculated using the growing perpetuity method Well we know already that that terminal value is at year 4.5 But I'm going to divide that by EBITDA at year 5, we've got inconsistent numbers here So what we do instead is we multiply it by one plus the WACC, to the power of 0.5 That means my numerator is now at year 5 and my denominator too So we've updated that sense check with that mid year adjustment Now let's go to the right hand side, let's look at the long term growth rate Here we're taking the terminal value using the multiple method (that's at year 5) But then you minus off the free cash flow at year 4.5 And then you divide that by the free cash flow at year 4.5 But then add on terminal value at year 5 Lots of inconsistencies happening here, so what do we need to do? We discount both of those terminal values by one plus WACC to the power of a half. We discount them by half a year All of the figures in that calculation then end up at the period 4.5 They are then consistent and we can come up with a decent long term growth rate

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